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Trump called the Kansas special election a 'great win.' Analysts saw it differently.

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UPDATE 10:14 a.m. EST: Trump called the victory a "great win."

But FiveThirtyEight editor Nate Silver said Estes had drastically "underperformed."

UPDATE April 12, 5:40 a.m. EST:

Republican Ron Estes won a tight race for a heavily conservative congressional district in Kansas late Tuesday night. 

Estes staved off a challenge from Democrat James Thompson to replace the seat vacated by current CIA director Mike Pompeo. The election was expected to be a landslide, but a late surge by Thompson prompted Republican leaders, including President Trump, to publicly support Estes in his election bid.

UPDATE 10:06 p.m. EST:

With more than half of the results in, Republican Estes has stolen the lead with 50.7 percent of the votes, compared to Thompson's 47.5 percent, the New York Times reported.

UPDATE 9:11 p.m. EST:

Preliminary poll results indicate that Thompson has a double-digit lead over Estes. Based on nine percent of reporting, Thomas has 55 percent compared to Estes' 43 percent, the New York Times reported.

ORIGINAL STORY: A special election to fill a House seat vacated by CIA Director Mike Pompeo has so far proven to be surprisingly competitive, the Associated Press reported. The congressional face off  between Democrat James Thompson, a civil rights attorney, and Republican Ron Estes is the first to occur since President Trump claimed victory over rival Hillary Clinton in November.

A member of the Republican party has occupied the seat for more than two decades.

Though the race won't have any immediate impact on congressional majority, the election is being closely watched for signs of backlash against Republicans or waning support from Trump's supporters in the typically red district. 

And even Trump has all eyes on the race. He tweeted support for Estes on Tuesday morning as voters began heading to the polls.

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